coming to the back of comments from the incoming prime minister who says he will consider changing the law governing central banks getting more politically involved. lori: we have larry in the pits of the cme. telling us why the pessimism on the fiscal cliff is making him bullish, believe it or not. and it is time to get defensive. larry, we will begin with you. how can you see this sorting out at the end of the day, a big deal, a little deal, no deal at all, what is the outcome? larry: the odds are pointing to a mini deal. expectations for a big deal are fading and fading quickly. it looks like it will be a mini deal with the tax extension will help those making under $250,000 per year and will not address the debt ceiling or spending or anything like that, it will be a patchwork of things that will make the market very nervous but given it is christmas eve, people are little bit negative but most christmas shopping. david: larry, round this time the irs issues its formal withholding guidance for the coming year. >> it'll be a bigger document than what we are used to because it will be gi